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With the Chinese economy from a high -speed growth stage to a high -quality growth stage,，GDP is no longer the dominant indicator of the development level of the area。The previous "only GDP theory" did bring a lot of negative effects to the economic development of some regions。but but，Look at the basic theory of macroeconomics，Still understand the experience of regional economic growth characteristics，GDP is still one of the most important indicators of a regional comprehensive economic development level。Breaking "GDP Theory"，It does not mean that the theoretical significance and practical value of GDP in analyzing regional economic development。
Suggestions on the planning of the 14th five -year planning of the national economic and social development in various places and the 1035 vision goal，and the 2021 and "Fourteenth Five -Year" development target data released by the two sessions，Most areas determine the GDP growth target at 6%or slightly high。For example，Henan、Tianjin、Sichuan、Sky bet online sports sky bet online casino betting APP download Xinjiang averaged the average annual growth target of the GDP of the "14th Five -Year Plan" area of about 6%，Hubei、Guangxi determines the average annual growth rate of the GDP of the "Fourteenth Five -Year Plan" area at about 6.5%。Comprehensive analysis，Most areas have determined the target of economic growth to 6%or a slightly high level with theoretical rationality and strategic rationality。
The theoretical rationality of the regional economic growth goals can be judged from two aspects。First, whether the economic growth target is basically consistent with the potential growth rate of the region。Based on the calculation of relevant domestic and foreign relevant agencies，The "Fourteenth Five -Year Plan" period of my country ’s average potential economic growth rate is 5%to 6%of the interval，6%target is roughly at the upper limit of potential growth rate，That is to say, 6%basically reflects the economic growth state when most areas when their capital and labor are fully utilized，If considering the future technological progress and education level, my country's capital quality (technical level contained Sky bet sports betting sky bet online casino APP in capital) and the acceleration improvement of labor quality (human capital)，and digitalization、Technical progress of intelligent drive，Even if you do not consider the huge system dividend released by the system reform，The economic growth rate of 6%and a slightly high level are also basically reasonable。
Evaluation of the second dimension of the theoretical rationality of the target theory，It is also a factor that is easy to ignore when discussing the goal of GDP growth in the domestic academic and policy circles，That is the rationality of the growth target as a policy tool。The economic growth target determined in the national economic plan，It is essentially a policy tool for government coordinated economic development。or，The formulation of regional economic growth goals is not a "prediction" behavior，but the "strategy" action of the government's economic development of regional economic development。Since it is a strategic policy tool，The rationality of evaluating the economic growth target should not be completely consistent with whether the goal is exactly consistent with the regional economic sky bet online casino sky bet online sports betting growth of the region after the region，The practical effect of this strategic behavior on guiding regional economic growth should be considered systematically。For example，When the economy is in the downward cycle，The government has determined economic growth goals at a slightly high level，helps to guide entrepreneurs and consumers to form more active investment and consumption expectations，to stimulate capital、Labor、Technology and systems of various element vitality，That is to say, the target of economic growth should have the effect of anti -cyclical adjustment of micro -subjects。In fact，In my country from high -speed growth to medium and high -speed growth shift period，Realize the stable economic development of the country and region，It just needs such a strategic arrangement。
From the perspective of strategic rationality，Most provinces determine the target of economic growth at a slightly higher level of potential growth rate，It is in line with the change of development mode in my country、The overall requirements for building a new development pattern。On the one hand，Lock the growth target at the potential growth sky bet online casino rate medium and high -speed sky bet online casino level，Eliminates the advancement、"Yin Eat Grain" development at the expense of the risk of accumulating local economic development，It is conducive to governments at all levels to focus on deepening system reforms、Adjust the industrial structure、Cultivate small and micro enterprises and improve technical capabilities as the "slow kung fu" aspects，Promoting the economic development method from investment -driven and scale -oriented towards innovation -driven and efficiency -oriented transformation。
Look at the "14th Five -Year Plan" economic growth goal announced by various places，Starting from national strategic positioning from local strategic positioning，instead of one -size -fits -all to formulate the characteristics of the growth rate target is obvious。For example，Beijing will determine the average annual growth rate of GDP in the "Fourteenth Five -Year Plan" area to about 5%，Fully reflects Beijing's non -capital function、Strengthen the National Political Center、Cultural Center、The strategic determination of the positioning of the International Exchange Sky bet football Center and the Science and Technology Sky bet online sports betting APP download Innovation Center。Hainan proposed a target of an average annual increase of more than 10%of the GDP of the "14th Five -Year Plan" area，It is also exactly the same as the country's strategic requirements for the accelerated construction of the country's free trade port to become a new highland of an open economy。The overall local area will determine the target of the economic growth rate around medium and high -speed potential growth rates，Differential growth goals based on strategic positioning and development conditions of various places，fully reflects the change of development methods in various places、Determination and ambition to implement national strategic requirements。
other，Maintaining the target level of the potential growth rate slightly higher than the potential growth rate，It is conducive to more fully release China's economic growth vitality and potential。"The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China on the formulation of the 14th five -year planning of the national economic and social development and the 2013 long -term vision goal" proposes，Development is still the Sky bet football basis and key to solve all problems Sky bet sports betting APP in my country。In 2019, my country's per capita GDP is only 10,300 US dollars，In the median and regions around 203 countries and regions around the world, 81st digits。Only regions are more actively promoting technological progress and institutional reforms，Only maintaining the basically stable economic development of my country's economic development in the environment where the international situation is increasing，Only can provide enough employment opportunities for workers and low -income workers who have received better educated，Only open space for the development of new industries and new consumption，Only can create conditions for strengthening my country's oversized market advantages on the traction of international economic recovery，Therefore, to promote the large domestic cycle as the main body、The new development pattern of domestic and international dual cycles promotes each other to accelerate the formation。
(Author: He Jun，Researcher at the Institute of Industrial and Economics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences、Bo Director)
Editor in charge: He Shan